Demand and Supply Analysis

Demand and Supply Analysis : Demand and Supply Analysis Chapter 4

Demand : Demand Demand indicates how much of a good consumers are willing and able to buy at each possible price during a given time period, other things constant Planned rate of purchase per period at each possible price Willing and able to buy is critical to demand Different than wants and needs

Law of Demand : Law of Demand Says that quantity demanded varies inversely with price, other things constant The higher the price, the smaller the quantity demanded The lower the price, the larger the quantity demanded

Explanations for Law of Demand : Explanations for Law of Demand Degree of scarcity of one good relative to another helps determine each good’s relative price Definition of demand includes the “other things constant” assumption Among the “other things” are the prices of other goods

Substitution Effect : Substitution Effect When the price of a good falls, its relative price makes consumers more willing to purchase this good When the price of a good increases, its relative price makes consumers less willing to purchase this good Changes in the relative prices – the price of one good compared to the prices of other goods – causes the substitution effect…you substitute toward the less expensive good.

Income Effect : Income Effect Money income Number of dollars received per period of time Real income Income measured in terms of the goods and services it can buy When the price of a good decreases, real income increases…not only do you buy more of the cheaper good, you buy more of other goods as well. When the price of a good increases, real income declines, you buy less of that good and likely less of all other goods because your real income declined.

Exhibit 1: Demand Schedule & Demand Curve for Pizza : Exhibit 1: Demand Schedule & Demand Curve for Pizza The demand schedule lists possible prices, along with quantity demanded at each price. The demand curve at the right shows each price / quantity combination listed in the demand schedule as a point on the demand curve.

Demand and Quantity Demanded : Demand and Quantity Demanded P r i c e p e r q u a r t 8 14 20 26 32 $15.00 12.00 9.00 6.00 3.00 0 a b c d e D Millions of pizzas per week Demand for pizza is not a specific quantity, but rather the entire relation between price and quantity demanded, and is represented by the entire demand curve An individual point on the demand curve shows the quantity demanded at a particular price. The movement from say, b to c, is a change in quantity demanded and is represented by a movement along the demand curve and can only be caused by a change in price

Individual Demand Market Demand : Individual Demand Market Demand Individual demand refers to the demand of an individual consumer Market demand is the sum of the individual demands of all consumers in the market Important: Unless otherwise noted, we will be referring to market demand

Shifts of the Demand Curve : Shifts of the Demand Curve Demand curve focuses on the relationship between the price of a good and the quantity demanded when other factors that could affect demand remain unchanged Money income of consumers Prices of related goods Consumer expectations Number and composition of consumers in the market Consumer tastes

Exhibit 2: Increase in the Market Demand : Exhibit 2: Increase in the Market Demand $15 12 9 6 3 Price Suppose income increases: some consumers will now be able to buy more pizza at each price  market demand increases  demand shifts to the right from D to D' A decrease in demand will mean demand shifts to the left from D' to D. 0 8 14 20 26 32 Millions of pizzas per week D b D' f

Changes in Consumer Income : Changes in Consumer Income Goods can be classified into two broad categories: Normal goods: the demand increases when income increases and decreases when income decreases Inferior goods: the demand decreases when income increases and increases when income decreases

Changes in the Prices of Related Goods : Changes in the Prices of Related Goods Prices of other goods are another of the factors assumed constant along a given demand curve Two general relationships Two goods are substitutes if an increase in the price of one shifts the demand for the other rightward and, conversely, if a decrease in the price of one shifts the demand for the other good leftward Two goods are complements if an increase in the price of one shifts the demand for the other leftward and a decrease in the price of one shifts the demand for the other rightward

Changes in Consumer Expectations : Changes in Consumer Expectations If individuals expect income to increase in the future, current demand increases and vice versa If individuals expect prices to increase in the future, current demand increases and decreases if future prices are expected to decrease

Supply : Supply Supply indicates how much of a good producers are willing and able to offer for sale per period at each possible price, other things constant Law of supply states that the quantity supplied is usually directly related to its price, other things constant The lower the price, the smaller the quantity supplied The higher the price, the greater the quantity supplied

Law of Supply : Law of Supply As price increases, other things constant, a producer becomes more willing to supply the good higher prices attract resources from lower-valued uses Higher prices also increase producer’s ability to supply the good Since the marginal cost of production increases as output increases, producers must receive a higher price for the output in order to be able to increase the quantity supplied

Exhibit 3: Supply Schedule and Curve for Pizzas : Exhibit 3: Supply Schedule and Curve for Pizzas 12 16 20 24 28 $15 12 9 6 3 0 S Millions of pizzas per week The supply curve and the supply schedule both show quantities of pizza supplied per week at various prices by all the pizza makers in the market Price and quantity supplied are directly, or positively, related: producers offer more for sale at higher prices than at lower ones: Supply curve slopes upward Price

Supply and Quantity Supplied : Supply and Quantity Supplied Supply refers to the relation between the price and quantity supplied as reflected by the supply schedule or the supply curve Quantity supplied refers to a particular amount offered for sale at a particular price, a particular point on a given supply curve

Individual Supply and Market Supply : Individual Supply and Market Supply Individual supply refers to the supply of an individual producer Market supply is the sum of individual supplies of all producers in the market Unless otherwise noted, we will be referring to market supply

Shifts of the Supply Curve : Shifts of the Supply Curve Determinants of supply other than the price of the good State of technology Prices of relevant resources Prices of alternative goods Producer expectations Number of producers in the market

Exhibit 4:Change in Technology Can Mean an Increase in Supply : Exhibit 4:Change in Technology Can Mean an Increase in Supply $15.00 12.00 9.00 6.00 3.00 0 12 16 20 24 28 Millions of pizzas per week S g S' h A more efficient technology, a high-tech oven, is invented Production costs fall  suppliers will be more willing and more able to supply the good  rightward shift of the supply curve from S to S'. Result: more is supplied at each possible price Price per quart

Changes in the Prices of Relevant Resources : Changes in the Prices of Relevant Resources Resources that are employed in the production of the good in question For example, if the price of mozzarella cheese falls, the cost of pizza production declines Conversely, if the price of some relevant resource increases, supply decreases

Prices of Alternative Goods : Prices of Alternative Goods Alternative goods are those that use some of the same resources employed to produce the good under consideration For example, as the price of bread increases, so does the opportunity cost of producing pizza and the supply of pizza declines Conversely, a fall in the price of an alternative good makes pizza production more profitable and supply increases

Changes in Producer Expectations : Changes in Producer Expectations When a good can be easily stored, expecting future prices to be higher may reduce current supply More generally, any change expected to affect future profitability could shift the supply curve

Number of Producers : Number of Producers Since market supply sums the amounts supplied at each price by all producers, the market supply depends on the number of producers in the market If that number increases, supply increases If the number of producers decreases, supply decreases

Demand and Supply Create a Market : Demand and Supply Create a Market Demanders and suppliers have different views of price Demanders, consumers, pay the price Suppliers, sellers, receive the price As price rises, consumers reduce their quantity demanded along the demand curve, and producers increase their quantity supplied along the supply curve

Markets : Markets Sort out the conflicting price perspectives of individual participants – buyers and sellers Represent all arrangements used to buy and sell a particular good or service Reduce transaction costs of exchange –costs of time and information required for exchange Adam Smith’s invisible hand

Exhibit 5: The Market for PizzaWhere supply and demand come together… : Exhibit 5: The Market for Pizza Where supply and demand come together…

Exhibit 5: The Market for Pizzas : Exhibit 5: The Market for Pizzas Millions of pizzas per week $15.00 12.00 9.00 6.00 3.00 0 At initial price $12, producers supply 24 million pizzas per week (supply curve) while consumers demand only 14 million: excess quantity supplied (or surplus) of 10 million pizzas per week To eliminate this surplus, suppliers put downward pressure on prices As prices fall, quantity supplied declines and quantity demanded increases: market moves towards equilibrium at point c 14 20 24 Price

Exhibit 5: The Market for Pizzas : Exhibit 5: The Market for Pizzas Millions of pizzas per week $15.00 12.00 9.00 6.00 3.00 0 c S D Initial price is $6 per pizza, 26 million are demanded, but producers supply only 16 million: an excess quantity demanded (or shortage) of 10 million pizzas per week As prices increase, producers increase quantity supplied and consumers reduce their quantity demanded, moving towards equilibrium at point c 16 20 26 Price

Equilibrium : Equilibrium When the quantity consumers are willing and able to pay equals the quantity producers are willing and able to sell, the market reaches equilibrium Independent plans of both buyers and sellers exactly match Market forces exert no pressure to change price or quantity

Equilibrium : Equilibrium Market is personal: each consumer and each producer makes a personal decision about how much to buy or sell at a given price Market is impersonal: it requires no conscious coordination among consumers or producers Market forces synchronize the personal and independent decisions of many individual buyers and sellers

Changes in Equilibrium : Changes in Equilibrium Once a market reaches equilibrium, that price and quantity will prevail until one of the determinants of demand or supply changes A change in any one of these determinants will usually change equilibrium price and quantity in a predictable way

Slide34 : Exhibit 6: Effects of an Increase in Demand

Slide35 : Exhibit 6: Effects of an Increase in Demand Assume one of the determinants of demand changes so that demand increases from D to D' After the increase, the amount demanded at $9 is 30 million – which exceeds the amount supplied of 20 million pizzas: shortage and upward pressure on price As price increases, quantity demanded decreases along the new demand curve, D'. The quantity supplied increases along the existing supply curve, S, until the two quantities are in equilibrium. 20 Millions of pizzas per week 9 0 D S $12 D' 24 30 Price c g

Shifts of the Demand Curve : Shifts of the Demand Curve An increase in demand leads to a rightward shift of the demand curve, increasing both the equilibrium price and quantity Alternatively, a decrease in demand leads to a leftward shift of the demand curve, reducing both the equilibrium price and quantity

Slide37 : Exhibit 7: Effects of an Increase in Supply

Slide38 : Exhibit 7: Effects of an Increase in Supply Suppose supply shifts from S to S'  increases After supply increases, the amount supplied at the initial price of $9 increases from 20 to 30 million pizzas per week  a surplus exists Surplus puts downward pressure on price  quantity demanded increases along the existing demand curve until a new equilibrium is reached. D S $9 20 S' 26 6 30 Price Millions of Pizzas per Week d c

Shifts of the Supply Curve : Shifts of the Supply Curve An increase in supply: a rightward shift of the supply curve reduces equilibrium price but increases equilibrium quantity A decrease in supply: a leftward shift of the supply curve increases equilibrium price but decreases equilibrium quantity A rightward shift of the supply curve decreases price, but increases quantity A leftward shift increases price, but decreases quantity

Simultaneous Shifts in Demand and Supply : Simultaneous Shifts in Demand and Supply As long as only one curve shifts, we can say for sure what will happen to equilibrium price and quantity If both curves shift, however, the outcome is less obvious…it all depends on how far each curve shifts.

Slide41 : Exhibit 8: Indeterminate Effect of an Increase in Both Supply and Demand p 0 Units per period S D p' Q' S' D' Q Suppose supply and demand both increase and that demand increases more than supply as shown by D' and S' Here both price and quantity increase If both demand and supply were to decrease, for example from D' S' to D and S, both equilibrium price and quantity would decline. a) Shift in demand dominates Price

Slide42 : Exhibit 8: Indeterminate Effect of an Increase in Both Supply and Demand p Units per period D S 0 p" Q" D" S" Q Price Again, suppose both supply and demand increase but supply shifts by more than demand: price decreases from p to p'' and quantity increases Conversely, if both supply and demand decrease with the shift in supply dominating, price will increase and quantity will decrease. b) Shift in supply dominates

Slide43 : Exhibit 9: Effects of Changes in Both Supply and Demand Supply increases Supply decreases Demand increases Demand decreases Change in Demand Equilibrium price price change is indeterminate. Equilibrium quantity increases. Equilibrium price rises. Equilibrium quantity change is indeterminate. Equilibrium price falls. Equilibrium quantity change is indeterminate. Equilibrium price change is indeterminate. Equilibrium quantity decreases. Change in Supply

Exhibit 10 Change in the Market for NBA Players : Exhibit 10 Change in the Market for NBA Players

Disequilibrium Prices : Disequilibrium Prices Disequilibrium is the condition in the market when plans of buyers do not match plans of sellers Usually temporary as the market gropes for equilibrium

Slide46 : Exhibit 11: Price Floors and Price Ceilings

Slide47 : Exhibit 11a: Effects of a Price Floor $2.50 14 19 24 S D Millions of gallons per month Surplus 0 To achieve higher prices, the federal government sets a price floor, a minimum selling price that is above the equilibrium price Suppose it places a $2.50 per gallon price floor for milk At this price, farmers supply 24 million gallons per week Consumers demand only 14 million gallons  a surplus of 10 million gallons Price per gallon $1.90

Slide48 : Exhibit 11b: Effects of a Price Ceiling $1000 $600 40 50 60 D S Thousands of rental units per month 0 A common example of a price ceiling is rent control in some cities Suppose the market-clearing rent is $1,000 per month with 50,000 apartments being rented Now suppose the government decides to set a maximum rent of $600 At this ceiling price, 60,000 rental units are demanded However, only 40,000 are supplied, a shortage Monthly rent

Summary : Summary To have an impact, a price floor must be set above the equilibrium price and a price ceiling must be set below the equilibrium price Effective price floors and ceilings distort markets in that they create a surplus and a shortage, respectively In these situations, various nonprice allocation devices emerge to cope with the disequilibrium resulting from the intervention