IDSP 8 : www.medicos11.com : IDSP 8 : www.medicos11.com
Outbreak investigation, response and control : Outbreak investigation, response and control IDSP training module for state and district surveillance officers
Module 8
Learning objectives (1/3) : Learning objectives (1/3) Define an outbreak/epidemic
List the various ways of detecting an outbreak/ epidemic
List the modes of transmission of causative agents of outbreaks
Describe warning signs of an impending outbreak
Learning objectives (2/3) : Learning objectives (2/3) Specify the operational threshold levels of diseases under surveillance for outbreak investigations
List the members of rapid response team in your district
Enumerate the situations when DEIT would be initiated
Describe the steps of epidemic investigation to establish an outbreak and determine its etiology
Learning objectives (3/3) : Learning objectives (3/3) Outline the appropriate control measures to be taken when the nature of the outbreak is established:
Water borne diseases
Vector borne diseases
Vaccine preventable disease outbreaks
Outbreaks of unknown etiology
Definition of an outbreak : Definition of an outbreak Occurrence in a community of cases of an illness clearly in excess of expected numbers
The occurrence of two or more epidemiologically linked cases of a disease of outbreak potential constitutes an outbreak
(e.g., Measles, Cholera, Dengue, Japanese encephalitis, or plague)
Outbreak and epidemic: A question of scale : Outbreak and epidemic: A question of scale Outbreaks
Outbreaks are usually limited to a small area
Outbreaks are usually within one district or few blocks
Epidemics
An epidemic covers larger geographic areas
Epidemics usually linked to control measures on a district/state wide basis
Use a word or the other according to whether you want to generate or deflect attention
Endemic versus epidemic : Endemic versus epidemic Endemicity
Disease occurring in a population regularly at a usual level
Tuberculosis, Malaria
Epidemics
Unusual occurrence of the disease clearly in excess of its normal expectation
In a geographical location
At a given point of time
Sources of information to detect outbreaks : Sources of information to detect outbreaks Rumour register
To be kept in standardized format in each institution
Rumours need to be investigated
Community informants
Private and public sector
Media
Important source of information, not to neglect
Review of routine data
Triggers
Early warning signals for an outbreak : Early warning signals for an outbreak Clustering of cases or deaths
Increases in cases or deaths
Single case of disease of epidemic potential
Acute febrile illness of an unknown etiology
Two or more linked cases of meningitis, measles
Unusual isolate
Shifting in age distribution of cases
High vector density
Natural disasters
Objectives of an outbreak investigation : Objectives of an outbreak investigation Verify
Recognize the magnitude
Diagnose the agent
Identify the source and mode of transmission
Formulate prevention and control measures
Outbreak preparedness: A summary of preparatory action : Outbreak preparedness: A summary of preparatory action Formation of rapid response team
Training of the rapid response team
Regular review of the data
Identification of ‘outbreak seasons’
Identification of‘outbreak regions’
Provision of necessary drugs and materials
Identification and strengthening appropriate laboratories
Designation of vehicles for outbreak investigation
Establishment of communication channels in working conditions (e.g., Telephone)
Basic responses to triggers : Basic responses to triggers There are triggers for each condition under surveillance
Various trigger levels may lead to local or broader response
Tables in the operation manual propose standardized actions to take following various triggers
Investigations are needed in addition to standardized actions
Levels of response to different triggers : Levels of response to different triggers
Importance of timely action: The first information report (Form C) : Importance of timely action: The first information report (Form C) Filled by the reporting unit
Submitted to the District Surveillance Officer as soon as the suspected outbreak is verified
Sent by the fastest route of information available
Telephone
Fax
E-mail
The rapid response team : The rapid response team Composition
Epidemiologist, clinician and microbiologist
Gathered on ad hoc basis when needed
Role
Confirm and investigate outbreaks
Responsibility
Assist in the investigation and response
Primary responsibility rests with local health staff
The balance between investigation and control while responding to an outbreak : The balance between investigation and control while responding to an outbreak
Steps in outbreak response : Steps in outbreak response Verifying the outbreak
Sending the rapid response team
Monitoring the situation
Declaring the outbreak over
Reviewing the final report
Step 1: Verifying the outbreak : Step 1: Verifying the outbreak Identify validity of source of information to avoid false alarm/a data entry error
Check with the concerned medical officer:
Abnormal increase in the number of cases
Clustering of cases
Epidemiological link between cases
Occurrence of some triggering event
Occurrence of deaths
Step 2: Sending the rapid response team : Step 2: Sending the rapid response team Review if the source and mode of transmission are known
If not, constitute team with:
Medical officer
Epidemiologist
Laboratory specialist
Formulation of hypothesis on basis of the description by time, place and person
Does the hypothesis fits the fact
YES: Propose control measures
NO: Conduct special studies
Investigating an outbreak : Investigating an outbreak
Acute hepatitis by week of onset in 3 villages, Bhimtal block, Uttaranchal, India, July 2005 : Acute hepatitis by week of onset in 3 villages, Bhimtal block, Uttaranchal, India, July 2005 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 1st week 2nd week 3rd week 4th week 1st week 2nd week 3rd week 4th week 1st week 2nd week 3rd week 4th week 1st week 2nd week 3rd week 4th week 1st week May June July August September Week of onset Number of cases Outlying case-patient might have been a source Time
Incidence of acute hepatitis by source of water supply, Bhimtal block, Uttaranchal, India, July 2005 : Incidence of acute hepatitis by source of water supply, Bhimtal block, Uttaranchal, India, July 2005 Mehragaon main village Dov Water supply
Spring
Reservoir
Pipeline
Attack rate
< 5%
5-9%
10% + Mehragaon Hydle colony Chauriagaon Mehragaon Place
Incidence of acute hepatitis by age and sex in 3 villages, Bhimtal block, Uttaranchal, India, July 2005 : Incidence of acute hepatitis by age and sex in 3 villages, Bhimtal block, Uttaranchal, India, July 2005 Person
When to ask for assistance from the state level? : When to ask for assistance from the state level? Unusual outbreak
High case fatality ratio
Unknown etiology
Trigger level three and above
Steps of a full outbreak investigation using analytical epidemiology to identify the source of infection : Steps of a full outbreak investigation using analytical epidemiology to identify the source of infection Determine the existence of an outbreak
Confirm the diagnosis
Define a case
Search for cases
Generate hypotheses using descriptive findings
Test hypotheses based upon an analytical study
Draw conclusions
Compare the hypothesis with established facts
Communicate findings
Execute prevention measures Requires assistance from qualified field epidemiologist (FETP)
Cohort to estimate the risk of hepatitis by water supply, Mehragaon village, Uttaranchal, India, July 2005 : Cohort to estimate the risk of hepatitis by water supply, Mehragaon village, Uttaranchal, India, July 2005 C.I.: Confidence interval Analytical epidemiology compares cases and non cases or exposed versus unexposed to test the hypothesis generated on the basis of the time, place and person description
3. Monitoring the situation : 3. Monitoring the situation Trends in cases and deaths
Implementation of containment measures
Stocks of vaccines and drugs
Logistics
Communication
Vehicles
Community involvement
Media response
4. Declaring the outbreak over : 4. Declaring the outbreak over Role of the district surveillance officer / Medical health officer
Criteria
No new case during two incubation periods since onset of last case
Implies careful case search to make sure no case are missed
5. Review of the final report : 5. Review of the final report Sent by medical officer of the primary health centre to the district surveillance officer / medical and health officer within 10 days of the outbreak being declared over
Review by the technical committee
Identification of system failures
Longer term recommendations
Managerial aspects of outbreak response : Managerial aspects of outbreak response Logistics
Human resources
Medicines
Equipment and supplies
Vehicle and mobility
Communication channels
Information, education and communication
Media
Daily update
Control measures for an outbreak : Control measures for an outbreak General measures
Till source and route of transmission identified
Specific measures, based upon the results of the investigation
Agent
Removing the source
Environment
Interrupting transmission
Host
Protection (e.g., immunization)
Case management
Specific outbreak control measures : Specific outbreak control measures Waterborne outbreaks
Access to safe drinking water
Sanitary disposal of human waste
Frequent hand washing with soap
Adopting safe practices in food handling
Vector borne outbreaks
Vector control
Personal protective measures
Vaccine preventable outbreaks
Supplies vaccines, syringes and injection equipment
Human resources to administer vaccine
Ring immunization when applicable
Reports : Reports Preliminary report by the nodal medical officer (First information report)
Daily situation update
Interim report by the rapid response team
Final report
Points to remember : Points to remember Outbreaks cause suffering, bad publicity and cost resources
Constant vigil is needed
Prompt timely action limits damage
Emphasis is on saving lives
Don’t diagnose every case once the etiology is clear
Management of linked cases does not require confirmation
The development of an outbreak is followed on a daily basis
Effective communication prevents rumours
Use one single designated spoke person
Learn lessons after the outbreak is over